FACTSPHERE

Trump Unleashes New Tariff Wave, Global Markets And Trade Partners Reel

Global markets plunged on Friday as US President Donald Trump issued a sweeping order imposing steep tariffs on dozens of countries triggering diplomatic unease and fears of slowed economic growth worldwide

The executive order marks the most aggressive protectionist move by the US since the 1930s raising import duties to between 10 and 41 percent for 69 trading partners and pushing the US effective tariff rate from 2 point 3 percent last year to an estimated 18 percent according to Capital Economics

Markets Dive Across Regions

The global financial fallout was immediate with the STOXX 600 dropping 1 point 8 percent on Friday and 2 point 5 percent for the week marking its worst slide since Trump’s previous tariff wave in April

In Asia MSCI’s Asia-Pacific Index outside Japan shed 1 point 5 percent while US markets also opened sharply lower

Oil prices continued their decline after falling 1 percent the previous day as investor anxiety surged

Switzerland and India Seek New Talks

Several countries struck by the new tariffs expressed dismay and sought renewed dialogue with Washington

Switzerland facing a 39 percent tariff said it was stunned by the announcement

⁠It’s a massive shock for the export industry and for the whole country We are really stunned
⁠Jean Philippe Kohl Deputy Director Swissmem

India hit with a 25 percent rate has opened direct trade talks with Washington as the move could impact an estimated 40 billion dollars in exports

Key Tariff Details and Country Impacts

Among the nations affected by the new order

•⁠ ⁠Canada will now face a 35 percent tariff up from 25 percent specifically on goods linked to fentanyl-related categories
•⁠ ⁠Brazil is subject to a 50 percent rate
•⁠ ⁠Taiwan has been levied with a 20 percent duty though it labeled the rate temporary
•⁠ ⁠Australia has retained a minimum tariff of 10 percent which officials say could improve its competitiveness

Thailand saw its rate slashed from 36 percent to 19 percent prompting Finance Minister Pichai Chunhavajira to state

⁠It helps maintain Thailand's competitiveness on the global stage boosts investor confidence and opens the door to economic growth increased income and new opportunities

Trade Deals and Transshipment Uncertainty

Despite the European Union recently agreeing to a framework deal with Washington officials say they are awaiting further clarification particularly concerning tariffs on cars and aircraft

Confusion also remains over how the US plans to enforce transshipment restrictions which could lead to 40 percent tariffs on goods rebranded to dodge country of origin rules

Domestic Economic Impact and Rising Prices

The tariff announcement comes at a fragile moment for the US economy with new data showing slower than expected job growth and rising consumer prices

The Commerce Department reported that prices for home furnishings and durable household goods jumped 1 point 3 percent in June the largest spike since March 2022

No Real Winners Says Analysts

While some nations have escaped the harshest duties few believe the global economy will come out unscathed

⁠No real winners in trade conflicts Despite some countries securing better terms the overall impact is negative
⁠Thomas Rupf Co Head Singapore and CIO Asia VP Bank

German winemaker Johannes Selbach echoed that sentiment

⁠The tariffs hurt the Americans and they hurt us

Businesses Look for Loopholes

To soften the blow some companies such as L’Oreal and various European fashion brands are exploring the decades old First Sale Rule which allows tariffs to be applied to the product’s factory value rather than its retail price potentially reducing duties

Canada India React as Mexico Gets a Reprieve

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney expressed deep disappointment at Trump’s decision to increase tariffs and vowed to protect Canadian jobs and diversify trade partnerships

Meanwhile Mexico was granted a 90 day reprieve from higher tariffs as negotiations continue on a broader agreement

Trump’s Justification and Strategy

In the executive order Trump argued that several nations failed to align with the US on economic and national security interests despite ongoing negotiations

The administration has also hinted at potential future trade deals but no formal details have emerged yet

Final Outlook

With markets shaken and diplomatic ties strained Trump’s tariff blitz has introduced a new chapter in global trade uncertainty While some nations are attempting to adapt or negotiate better terms the broad consensus remains that the consequences of this aggressive trade policy could drag on global growth for months to come

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